TRX Price Prediction: Navigating Volatility for a Potential 2026 Rally

#TRX

• Critical Technical Juncture: TRX is testing major support at the lower Bollinger Band (~$0.269). Holding above is vital to prevent a deeper drop, while a break above the 20-day MA (~$0.293) is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
• Mixed Market Sentiment: Price is dampened by sector-wide volatility and competing ecosystem developments, but long-term price predictions and strong exchange fundamentals offer a counterbalance of optimism.
• Path to $0.40: The 2026 target of $0.30-$0.40 is feasible but hinges on overcoming immediate technical hurdles and improving market sentiment to attract sustained buying pressure.

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Shows Mixed Signals Near Key Support

According to BTCC financial analyst Emma, TRX is currently trading at $0.269, which is below its 20-day moving average of $0.292955. This suggests short-term bearish pressure. The MACD indicator shows a positive histogram of 0.004524, with the MACD line (0.013590) above the signal line (0.009066), indicating potential bullish momentum building beneath the surface. However, the price is hovering just above the lower Bollinger Band at $0.269669. A sustained break below this level could trigger a sharper decline towards $0.26. The middle band at $0.292955 and the upper band at $0.316241 represent immediate resistance zones. Emma notes that a reclaim of the 20-day MA is crucial for the bulls to regain control.

Market Sentiment: Volatility Weighs on TRX Amid Sector Developments

BTCC financial analyst Emma points out that current news flow creates a complex backdrop for TRX. Headlines highlight broader crypto volatility dragging down assets like XRP, TRX, and BNB. This aligns with the technical picture showing price weakness. Concurrently, developments like SONAMI accelerating Layer 2 development on solana may draw investor attention and capital away from other ecosystems, including TRON. However, optimistic price predictions for TRX in 2026, questioning a break above $0.30, provide a counter-narrative of long-term potential. Major exchange Kraken's parent company reporting strong revenue also signals robust platform health, which is a positive for overall market infrastructure. Emma concludes that sentiment is currently cautious but not devoid of hope for a recovery, especially if TRX can defend its technical support.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

XRP, TRX, and BNB Slide Amid Broader Crypto Volatility as SONAMI Accelerates Layer 2 Development on Solana

The cryptocurrency market has entered a renewed phase of volatility, with major digital assets including XRP, TRX, and BNB experiencing notable price corrections alongside broader market weakness. The downturn reflects a combination of macroeconomic pressure, reduced speculative activity, and ongoing reassessment of long-term network fundamentals across leading blockchain ecosystems.

As prices across multiple Layer 1 platforms decline, market participants are increasingly shifting focus from short-term valuation toward infrastructure resilience, scalability, and real-world utility — areas that continue to shape the long-term trajectory of blockchain adoption.

XRP, TRX, and BNB have each played significant roles in powering payments, smart contracts, and exchange-driven ecosystems. However, the recent correction has highlighted a recurring industry theme: sustainable growth depends not only on usage and liquidity, but also on scalable infrastructure capable of supporting increasingly complex applications under peak demand.

Across the industry, builders are responding by prioritizing performance optimization, modular architecture, and execution-layer innovation as the next phase of blockchain evolution takes shape.

Against this backdrop, SONAMI continues to advance Solana’s Layer 2 ecosystem during the market downturn, signaling a strategic bet on scalability solutions amid shifting investor priorities.

TRON Price Prediction 2026: Can TRX Break $0.30 and Rally to $0.40?

TRON (TRX) trades at $0.280 as of 5 February 2026, holding above critical moving averages—$0.228 (100-SMA) and $0.153 (200-SMA)—signaling long-term bullish momentum. A rejection near the 20-SMA and 50-SMA ($0.289–$0.298) after a $0.35 peak suggests medium-term consolidation with lower highs.

Bollinger Bands (20) reveal tightening volatility: mid-band at $0.298, upper band at $0.336, and lower band at $0.261. TRX currently hovers below the mid-band, reflecting neutral-to-bearish pressure. Key resistance lies at $0.30–$0.305 and $0.335–$0.35, while support zones are $0.26–$0.27 and $0.23.

A weekly close above $0.30 could propel TRX toward $0.335, $0.36, or even $0.40. The $0.26–$0.30 range may persist as an accumulation zone, but a breakdown below $0.26 risks a slide to $0.23 (100-SMA) or the cycle low of $0.153.

Weekly RSI at 44 hints at waning selling pressure, though MACD’s position below zero underscores lingering bearish sentiment. The market awaits a decisive catalyst to reignite upward momentum.

Kraken Parent Payward Posts $2.2 Billion Revenue in FY 2025 Amid Platform Expansion

Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, reported a 33% surge in adjusted revenue to $2.2 billion for fiscal year 2025. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 26% to $531 million, while platform transaction volume jumped 34% to $2.0 trillion. Platform assets grew 11% to $48.2 billion.

The number of funded accounts soared 50% to 5.7 million, reflecting broader adoption of Kraken’s ecosystem—including NinjaTrader, Breakout, and xStocks. Payward has evolved into a multi-product infrastructure provider, offering customizable solutions for diverse customer segments while maintaining shared liquidity and compliance systems.

Growth was driven by three segments: consumer services (Krak App, Krak Card), professional tools, and institutional offerings. The expansion underscores Kraken’s pivot from a single exchange to a diversified fintech platform.

How High Will TRX Price Go?

Based on the current technical setup and market sentiment analyzed by BTCC financial analyst Emma, TRX faces immediate resistance at its 20-day Moving Average of $0.292955. A decisive break above this level could open the path toward the upper Bollinger Band at $0.316241. The key psychological and technical target for 2026, as highlighted in market discussions, is the $0.30 to $0.40 range. Achieving this depends on several factors: